Tap turns on the water, see the waters flow. "Tap Turns on the Water" - C.C.S.
Siena Saints
62 74
FINAL Conference
Quinnipiac Bobcats
Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference · MVP Arena · February 14, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread SIE -3.5 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Under
Money SIE -180 / QUIN +150
Model Predictions
Spread Total SIE win
Actual QUIN +12 136 Lost
Massey SIE -4.3 (-16.3)
Massey Totals 144.0 (-8.0)
Bradley-Terry 54%
Weighted B-T 52%
Efficiency Plus ML SIE -3.6 (-15.6) 142.1 (-6.1) 68%
Baseline Tuned ML SIE -3.4 (-15.4) 140.3 (-4.3) 66%
Baseline ML SIE -3.6 (-15.6) 140.9 (-4.9) 65%
Baseline Plus ML SIE -4.6 (-16.6) 140.1 (-4.1) 67%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 2, 2025 SIE 8475 QUIN
Jan 11, 2025 QUIN 7253 SIE
Mar 3, 2024 QUIN 7157 SIE
Jan 20, 2024 QUIN 8270 SIE
Feb 18, 2023 QUIN 6663 SIE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SIE QUIN
Overall 23-12 19-13
Conference 13-7 12-8
Home 9-4 10-5
Away 9-7 9-7
Neutral 5-1 0-1
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 70.4 74.2
Avg Pts Against 65.8 72.6
Massey -1.3 (#185) -2.7 (#212)
Bradley-Terry -0.18 (#193) 0.15 (#153)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.27 (#187) 0.21 (#151)
RPI 0.509 (#162) 0.528 (#116)
Shooting & Four Factors SIE QUIN
FG% 46.8% 43.4%
3PT% 31.0% 35.2%
REB / G 33.7 35.6
OREB / G 10.4 11.8
AST / TO 1.34 1.18
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.7% 49.3%
TOV% 15.9% 16.1%
ORB% 32.9% 33.0%
FT Rate 24.1% 22.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.3% 49.4%
Opp TOV% 18.4% 18.1%
DRB% 71.4% 67.3%
Opp FT Rate 19.8% 22.1%

Game Analysis

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