Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.0 Under |
| Money | MASS -225 GW +185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +14 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | MASS -9.1 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.6 (-19.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -7.2 (+6.8) | 160.2 (-12.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -7.3 (+6.7) | 158.1 (-10.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -6.8 (+7.2) | 158.3 (-10.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -7.5 (+6.5) | 160.8 (-12.8) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2025 | GW 74 – 52 MASS |
| Jan 23, 2025 | MASS 74 – 61 GW |
| Feb 28, 2024 | MASS 69 – 57 GW |
| Jan 7, 2023 | GW 81 – 73 MASS |
| Mar 10, 2022 | MASS 99 – 88 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 4-14 |
| Home | 13-3 | 12-6 |
| Away | 4-6 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.5 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 7.1 (#80) | 1.7 (#140) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#115) | 1.19 (#91) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#107) | 1.27 (#96) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#96) | 0.534 (#120) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 38.7% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 39.7 |
| OREB / G | 14.1 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 37.4% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.9% | 15.2% |
Game Analysis
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