Now she's with one of my good-time buddies, they're drinking in some crosstown bar. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
George Washington Revolutionaries
88 99
FINAL Neutral Conference Atlantic 10
Massachusetts Minutemen
Atlantic 10 Conference · Capital One Arena (Neutral) · March 10, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread MASS -2.5 Away covered
O/U 149.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total GW win
Actual MASS +11 187 Lost
Massey MASS -2.0 (-9.0)
Massey Totals 155.1 (+31.9)
Bradley-Terry 40%
Weighted B-T 40%
Baseline ML MASS -1.4 (-9.6) 153.4 (+33.6) 38%
Baseline Plus ML MASS -2.2 (-8.8) 152.6 (+34.4) 38%
Efficiency Plus ML MASS -1.9 (-9.1) 149.9 (+37.1) 37%
Baseline Tuned ML MASS -1.2 (-9.8) 152.8 (+34.2) 45%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2025 GW 7452 MASS
Jan 23, 2025 MASS 7461 GW
Feb 28, 2024 MASS 6957 GW
Jan 20, 2024 MASS 8167 GW
Jan 7, 2023 GW 8173 MASS

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GW MASS
Overall 12-18 15-17
Conference 8-9 7-11
Home 8-5 10-5
Away 3-10 3-8
Neutral 1-3 2-4
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 68.4 75.7
Avg Pts Against 72.8 78.1
Massey -3.3 (#230) -1.3 (#190)
Bradley-Terry -0.40 (#209) 0.01 (#173)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.51 (#212) -0.09 (#188)
RPI 0.482 (#211) 0.502 (#174)
Shooting & Four Factors GW MASS
FG% 42.5% 42.9%
3PT% 33.4% 37.3%
REB / G 33.3 33.8
OREB / G 8.3 10.4
AST / TO 0.99 1.16
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.5% 51.0%
TOV% 17.7% 16.9%
ORB% 23.0% 29.2%
FT Rate 17.7% 25.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.1% 55.1%
Opp TOV% 18.2% 17.9%
DRB% 69.0% 70.2%
Opp FT Rate 21.1% 20.5%

Game Analysis

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