Bitch, I'm me! "Stand Up" - Ludacris
George Washington Revolutionaries
88 – 99
FINAL Neutral Conference Atlantic 10
Massachusetts Minutemen
Atlantic 10 Conference · Capital One Arena (Neutral) · March 10, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread MASS -2.5 Away covered
O/U 149.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total GW win
Actual MASS +11 187 Lost
Massey MASS -2.0 (-9.0) — —
Massey Totals — 155.1 (+31.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 40% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 40% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MASS -3.3 (-7.7) 150.6 (+36.4) 35% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML MASS -1.7 (-9.3) 152.6 (+34.4) 43% ✓
Baseline ML MASS -1.5 (-9.5) 152.2 (+34.8) 40% ✓
Baseline Plus ML MASS -2.2 (-8.8) 152.9 (+34.1) 40% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2025 GW 74 – 52 MASS
Jan 23, 2025 MASS 74 – 61 GW
Feb 28, 2024 MASS 69 – 57 GW
Jan 20, 2024 MASS 81 – 67 GW
Jan 7, 2023 GW 81 – 73 MASS

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GW MASS
Overall 12-18 15-17
Conference 8-9 7-11
Home 8-5 10-5
Away 3-10 3-8
Neutral 1-3 2-4
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 68.4 75.7
Avg Pts Against 72.8 78.1
Massey -3.3 (#230) -1.3 (#190)
Bradley-Terry -0.40 (#209) 0.01 (#173)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.51 (#212) -0.09 (#188)
RPI 0.482 (#211) 0.502 (#174)
Shooting & Four Factors GW MASS
FG% 42.5% 42.9%
3PT% 33.4% 37.3%
REB / G 33.3 33.8
OREB / G 8.3 10.4
AST / TO 0.99 1.16
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.5% 51.0%
TOV% 17.7% 16.9%
ORB% 23.0% 29.2%
FT Rate 17.7% 25.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.1% 55.1%
Opp TOV% 18.2% 17.9%
DRB% 69.0% 70.2%
Opp FT Rate 21.1% 20.5%

Game Analysis

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