Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | GW +110 MASS -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +8 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | GW -0.3 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (+3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -0.2 (+8.2) | 146.0 (+8.0) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -0.2 (+8.2) | 146.9 (+7.1) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -0.6 (+8.6) | 147.7 (+6.3) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -0.0 (+8.0) | 146.0 (+8.0) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2025 | GW 74 – 52 MASS |
| Jan 23, 2025 | MASS 74 – 61 GW |
| Feb 28, 2024 | MASS 69 – 57 GW |
| Jan 20, 2024 | MASS 81 – 67 GW |
| Mar 10, 2022 | MASS 99 – 88 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-6 | 8-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#204) | 2.4 (#132) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#255) | 1.21 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#236) | 1.20 (#95) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#294) | 0.566 (#69) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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