Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | MASS -130 GW +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +13 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | GW -1.7 (+14.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.4 (-23.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GW -1.6 (+14.6) | 153.3 (-18.3) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -1.7 (+14.7) | 154.3 (-19.3) | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -0.4 (+13.4) | 154.5 (-19.5) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -1.5 (+14.5) | 151.4 (-16.4) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2025 | GW 74 – 52 MASS |
| Feb 28, 2024 | MASS 69 – 57 GW |
| Jan 20, 2024 | MASS 81 – 67 GW |
| Jan 7, 2023 | GW 81 – 73 MASS |
| Mar 10, 2022 | MASS 99 – 88 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-8 | 13-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 68.6 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#204) | 2.7 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#224) | 0.41 (#137) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#222) | 0.66 (#123) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#226) | 0.514 (#155) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 27.5% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 30.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.1% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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