I got a baby's brain and an old man's heart "I'm Eighteen" - Alice Cooper
Atlantic 10 Conference · Mullins Center · January 23, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread MASS -1.5 Home covered
O/U 155.5 Under
Money MASS -130 / GW +110
Model Predictions
Spread Total MASS win
Actual MASS +13 135 Won
Massey GW -1.7 (+14.7) — —
Massey Totals — 158.4 (-23.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 43% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 35% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ GW -0.4 (+13.4) 154.5 (-19.5) 54% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML GW -1.5 (+14.5) 151.4 (-16.4) 44% ✗
Baseline ML GW -1.6 (+14.6) 153.3 (-18.3) 42% ✗
Baseline Plus ML GW -1.7 (+14.7) 154.3 (-19.3) 47% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2025 GW 74 – 52 MASS
Feb 28, 2024 MASS 69 – 57 GW
Jan 20, 2024 MASS 81 – 67 GW
Jan 7, 2023 GW 81 – 73 MASS
Mar 10, 2022 MASS 99 – 88 GW

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MASS GW
Overall 12-20 21-13
Conference 7-11 9-9
Home 8-8 13-4
Away 4-7 5-6
Neutral 0-5 3-3
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L3 L2
Avg Pts For 72.5 72.3
Avg Pts Against 75.7 68.6
Massey -2.4 (#204) 2.7 (#118)
Bradley-Terry -0.52 (#224) 0.41 (#137)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.70 (#222) 0.66 (#123)
RPI 0.474 (#226) 0.514 (#155)
Shooting & Four Factors MASS GW
FG% 41.4% 43.8%
3PT% 27.5% 31.1%
REB / G 38.9 36.5
OREB / G 13.4 11.2
AST / TO 1.10 1.14
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.8% 50.6%
TOV% 15.7% 17.3%
ORB% 32.8% 31.7%
FT Rate 26.6% 30.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.5% 46.0%
Opp TOV% 17.8% 19.5%
DRB% 68.5% 67.1%
Opp FT Rate 30.1% 21.8%

Game Analysis

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