Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.0 Under |
| Money | GW +260 MASS -335 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +12 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | MASS -5.6 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.5 (-38.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -5.7 (-6.3) | 158.6 (-32.6) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -4.6 (-7.4) | 156.6 (-30.6) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -4.7 (-7.3) | 157.5 (-31.5) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -4.3 (-7.7) | 158.2 (-32.2) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2025 | GW 74 – 52 MASS |
| Jan 23, 2025 | MASS 74 – 61 GW |
| Jan 20, 2024 | MASS 81 – 67 GW |
| Jan 7, 2023 | GW 81 – 73 MASS |
| Mar 10, 2022 | MASS 99 – 88 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 20-11 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 11-7 |
| Home | 12-6 | 13-3 |
| Away | 1-9 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 77.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 70.7 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#193) | 7.1 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#175) | 0.82 (#111) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#177) | 1.23 (#103) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#215) | 0.551 (#88) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 36.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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