Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | GW -360 MASS +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +22 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | GW -7.5 (+14.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (-23.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -5.1 (+16.9) | 145.1 (-19.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -6.3 (+15.7) | 142.1 (-16.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GW -6.7 (+15.3) | 142.0 (-16.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -5.8 (+16.2) | 144.0 (-18.0) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2025 | MASS 74 – 61 GW |
| Feb 28, 2024 | MASS 69 – 57 GW |
| Jan 20, 2024 | MASS 81 – 67 GW |
| Jan 7, 2023 | GW 81 – 73 MASS |
| Mar 10, 2022 | MASS 99 – 88 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 13-4 | 8-8 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 75.7 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#119) | -1.8 (#191) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#133) | -0.52 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#123) | -0.50 (#205) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#146) | 0.480 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 27.9% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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