Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | FSU +105 CLEM -133 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +11 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | CLEM -0.7 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.3 (-8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -0.9 (-10.1) | 148.2 (-3.2) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FSU -1.6 (-12.6) | 148.5 (-3.5) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FSU -1.7 (-12.7) | 149.2 (-4.2) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FSU -0.8 (-11.8) | 151.0 (-6.0) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | FSU 70 – 65 CLEM |
| Feb 15, 2025 | CLEM 72 – 46 FSU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CLEM 77 – 57 FSU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | CLEM 74 – 63 FSU |
| Feb 16, 2023 | CLEM 94 – 54 FSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FSU | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-7 | 12-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#78) | 11.7 (#37) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.47 (#70) | 2.18 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.87 (#73) | 2.72 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#45) | 0.624 (#18) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FSU | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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