Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | CLEM -600 FSU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +11 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -9.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.7 (-14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -10.4 (+0.6) | 149.2 (-12.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -10.7 (+0.3) | 151.3 (-14.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -9.5 (+1.5) | 148.5 (-11.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -9.2 (+1.8) | 149.1 (-12.1) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | FSU 70 – 65 CLEM |
| Feb 15, 2025 | CLEM 72 – 46 FSU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CLEM 77 – 57 FSU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | CLEM 78 – 67 FSU |
| Feb 16, 2023 | CLEM 94 – 54 FSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 10-10 |
| Home | 12-4 | 10-7 |
| Away | 6-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 13.4 (#25) | 7.3 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.27 (#22) | 1.21 (#86) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.11 (#14) | 1.54 (#85) |
| RPI | 0.607 (#19) | 0.554 (#88) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 29.9% |
Game Analysis
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