Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | FSU +165 CLEM -195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +26 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | CLEM -3.6 (-22.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (-27.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -2.6 (-23.4) | 143.4 (-25.4) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -2.2 (-23.8) | 142.3 (-24.3) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -3.2 (-22.8) | 143.3 (-25.3) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -2.5 (-23.5) | 143.5 (-25.5) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | FSU 70 – 65 CLEM |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CLEM 77 – 57 FSU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | CLEM 74 – 63 FSU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | CLEM 78 – 67 FSU |
| Feb 16, 2023 | CLEM 94 – 54 FSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FSU | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 27-7 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 18-2 |
| Home | 11-5 | 15-2 |
| Away | 2-9 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 65.8 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#74) | 14.7 (#31) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#90) | 2.68 (#29) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#90) | 3.33 (#32) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#105) | 0.618 (#22) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FSU | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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