Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | CLEM -400 FSU +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +20 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -6.4 (+13.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (-11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -6.8 (+13.2) | 146.5 (-12.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -8.1 (+11.9) | 144.7 (-10.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -6.8 (+13.2) | 145.6 (-11.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -6.2 (+13.8) | 148.0 (-14.0) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | FSU 70 – 65 CLEM |
| Feb 15, 2025 | CLEM 72 – 46 FSU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | CLEM 74 – 63 FSU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | CLEM 78 – 67 FSU |
| Feb 16, 2023 | CLEM 94 – 54 FSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-7 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 8-12 |
| Home | 15-2 | 11-5 |
| Away | 9-3 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 11.8 (#46) | 9.3 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.30 (#42) | 1.35 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.97 (#42) | 1.65 (#73) |
| RPI | 0.611 (#33) | 0.567 (#64) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 30.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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