Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | CLEM -440 FSU +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FSU +5 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | CLEM -10.1 (-15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (-12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -10.7 (-15.7) | 146.5 (-11.5) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -9.6 (-14.6) | 143.2 (-8.2) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -9.6 (-14.6) | 144.2 (-9.2) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -10.5 (-15.5) | 145.7 (-10.7) | 82% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2025 | CLEM 72 – 46 FSU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CLEM 77 – 57 FSU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | CLEM 74 – 63 FSU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | CLEM 78 – 67 FSU |
| Feb 16, 2023 | CLEM 94 – 54 FSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-6 |
| Away | 6-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 77.9 |
| Massey | 14.6 (#37) | 7.5 (#83) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.57 (#34) | 1.23 (#80) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.16 (#38) | 1.51 (#82) |
| RPI | 0.601 (#33) | 0.535 (#101) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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