Betting Lines
| Spread | NCCU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | SCST +140 NCCU -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCST +3 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | NCCU -4.7 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (-9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCCU -4.5 (+7.5) | 143.7 (-4.7) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCCU -5.4 (+8.4) | 143.5 (-4.5) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NCCU -5.6 (+8.6) | 144.7 (-5.7) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCCU -5.5 (+8.5) | 144.1 (-5.1) | 27% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | SCST 80 – 64 NCCU |
| Feb 19, 2026 | SCST 85 – 72 NCCU |
| Mar 15, 2025 | SCST 88 – 67 NCCU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | SCST 87 – 71 NCCU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | NCCU 82 – 77 SCST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCST | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 9-5 |
| Home | 9-4 | 11-2 |
| Away | 5-13 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -12.4 (#341) | -4.0 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.30 (#341) | -0.36 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.88 (#336) | -0.48 (#219) |
| RPI | 0.387 (#340) | 0.486 (#198) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCST | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 15.1 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.6% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 36.2% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.6% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 64.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 38.2% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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