Betting Lines
| Spread | PENN -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | PENN -188 HARV +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HARV +9 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | PENN -6.3 (-15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (-16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PENN -5.3 (-14.3) | 143.5 (-12.5) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PENN -4.3 (-13.3) | 142.2 (-11.2) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PENN -3.9 (-12.9) | 142.0 (-11.0) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PENN -3.9 (-12.9) | 142.6 (-11.6) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | PENN 62 – 60 HARV |
| Feb 28, 2026 | PENN 64 – 61 HARV |
| Jan 19, 2026 | HARV 64 – 63 PENN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | HARV 79 – 78 PENN |
| Jan 20, 2025 | PENN 82 – 67 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PENN | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-18 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 5-9 |
| Home | 9-6 | 9-5 |
| Away | 2-10 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 0.0 (#166) | -2.6 (#210) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#183) | 0.19 (#159) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#159) | 0.26 (#155) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#181) | 0.508 (#153) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PENN | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.0% | 16.0% |
Game Analysis
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