Betting Lines
| Spread | HARV -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | HARV -230 PENN +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HARV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HARV +1 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | HARV -4.6 (-3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.5 (-21.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HARV -3.1 (-2.1) | 146.4 (-19.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HARV -3.4 (-2.4) | 144.8 (-17.8) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HARV -2.1 (-1.1) | 144.1 (-17.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HARV -2.6 (-1.6) | 145.6 (-18.6) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | PENN 62 – 60 HARV |
| Feb 28, 2026 | PENN 64 – 61 HARV |
| Feb 22, 2025 | HARV 79 – 78 PENN |
| Jan 20, 2025 | PENN 82 – 67 HARV |
| Feb 25, 2024 | HARV 74 – 70 PENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HARV | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-12 | 18-12 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 9-5 |
| Home | 8-4 | 12-2 |
| Away | 9-6 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#174) | -1.6 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#222) | 0.05 (#173) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#216) | 0.15 (#155) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#213) | 0.514 (#144) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HARV | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 39.8% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.