Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | UCSB -275 CSUF +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUF +4 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | UCSB -8.6 (-12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (+2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSB -6.3 (-10.3) | 139.2 (+2.8) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSB -5.8 (-9.8) | 137.6 (+4.4) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSB -6.4 (-10.4) | 138.0 (+4.0) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCSB -6.2 (-10.2) | 138.0 (+4.0) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | UCSB 83 – 69 CSUF |
| Jan 2, 2026 | CSUF 95 – 84 UCSB |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UCSB 86 – 56 CSUF |
| Jan 26, 2025 | UCSB 83 – 75 CSUF |
| Mar 3, 2024 | CSUF 79 – 70 UCSB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSB | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 7-13 |
| Home | 9-7 | 7-7 |
| Away | 6-7 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 66.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 70.4 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#161) | -4.7 (#258) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#170) | -0.17 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#167) | -0.45 (#214) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#175) | 0.508 (#154) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSB | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.5% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.