Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | COLG -600 BU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +16 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -10.9 (+5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.8 (+6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -9.9 (+6.1) | 131.6 (+2.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -9.2 (+6.8) | 131.4 (+2.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -9.3 (+6.7) | 131.2 (+2.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -8.6 (+7.4) | 132.3 (+1.7) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2026 | BU 85 – 58 COLG |
| Jan 24, 2026 | COLG 80 – 79 BU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BU 93 – 91 COLG |
| Jan 11, 2025 | COLG 87 – 50 BU |
| Feb 8, 2024 | COLG 74 – 64 BU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | BU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-3 | 9-7 |
| Away | 10-5 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.9 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#159) | -6.6 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#167) | -1.33 (#294) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#171) | -1.47 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#158) | 0.415 (#312) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | BU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 79.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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