Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | COLG -325 BU +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +1 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -9.2 (-8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.6 (+3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -6.3 (-5.3) | 144.2 (+14.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -7.7 (-6.7) | 147.7 (+11.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -7.1 (-6.1) | 149.5 (+9.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -8.5 (-7.5) | 148.1 (+10.9) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2026 | BU 85 – 58 COLG |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BU 93 – 91 COLG |
| Jan 11, 2025 | COLG 87 – 50 BU |
| Feb 8, 2024 | COLG 74 – 64 BU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | COLG 75 – 59 BU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | BU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-10 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 74.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#191) | -7.5 (#279) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#228) | -1.80 (#319) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#215) | -2.57 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#194) | 0.409 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | BU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 56.4% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 13.5% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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