Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | BU +150 COLG -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BU +2 | 184 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -0.8 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.7 (+52.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -0.3 (+2.3) | 134.3 (+49.7) | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -1.0 (+3.0) | 133.7 (+50.3) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -0.9 (+2.9) | 135.4 (+48.6) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -0.2 (+2.2) | 135.8 (+48.2) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2026 | BU 85 – 58 COLG |
| Jan 24, 2026 | COLG 80 – 79 BU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | COLG 87 – 50 BU |
| Feb 8, 2024 | COLG 74 – 64 BU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | COLG 75 – 59 BU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BU | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 3-12 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#297) | -4.5 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#282) | -1.01 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.58 (#285) | -1.18 (#257) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#270) | 0.464 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BU | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 15.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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