Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | BU +114 COLG -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BU +27 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -1.7 (+28.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.8 (-12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -0.9 (+27.9) | 148.5 (-5.5) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -1.3 (+28.3) | 148.4 (-5.4) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -1.6 (+28.6) | 150.8 (-7.8) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -0.6 (+27.6) | 151.2 (-8.2) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | COLG 80 – 79 BU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BU 93 – 91 COLG |
| Jan 11, 2025 | COLG 87 – 50 BU |
| Feb 8, 2024 | COLG 74 – 64 BU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | COLG 75 – 59 BU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BU | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-12 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.6 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#272) | -2.2 (#203) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.54 (#304) | -0.60 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.09 (#306) | -0.61 (#214) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#309) | 0.511 (#155) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BU | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.7% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.3% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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