Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | BU +260 COLG -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +10 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | COLG -6.2 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.8 (+10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -6.3 (-3.7) | 130.0 (+8.0) | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -6.4 (-3.6) | 131.1 (+6.9) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -7.0 (-3.0) | 129.6 (+8.4) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -6.8 (-3.2) | 130.2 (+7.8) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2026 | BU 85 – 58 COLG |
| Jan 24, 2026 | COLG 80 – 79 BU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BU 93 – 91 COLG |
| Jan 11, 2025 | COLG 87 – 50 BU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | COLG 75 – 59 BU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BU | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 16-2 |
| Home | 9-7 | 13-3 |
| Away | 7-10 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 64.9 |
| Massey | -7.8 (#298) | 1.8 (#141) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#321) | 0.42 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.88 (#306) | 0.35 (#151) |
| RPI | 0.410 (#322) | 0.533 (#113) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BU | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 16.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 78.8% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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