I remember one night the kid cut off his right arm in a bid to save a bit of power. "So It Goes" - Nick Lowe
Ohio Valley Conference · Liberty Arena (IN) · January 20, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread MORE -9.5 Away covered
O/U 135.5 Over
Money USI +400 / MORE -450
Model Predictions
Spread Total USI win
Actual MORE +11 151 Lost
Massey MORE -9.8 (-1.2) — —
Massey Totals — 132.6 (+18.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 6% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 4% ✓
Baseline Plus ML MORE -10.0 (-1.0) 133.8 (+17.2) 16% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MORE -10.2 (-0.8) 137.1 (+13.9) 17% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML MORE -9.7 (-1.3) 133.0 (+18.0) 16% ✓
Baseline ML MORE -9.9 (-1.1) 133.7 (+17.3) 16% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 25, 2026 MORE 64 – 63 USI
Dec 20, 2025 MORE 64 – 60 USI
Jan 29, 2025 MORE 66 – 65 USI
Jan 1, 2025 MORE 70 – 68 USI
Feb 21, 2024 USI 80 – 73 MORE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings USI MORE
Overall 8-24 26-9
Conference 5-13 14-4
Home 5-10 14-1
Away 3-13 9-7
Neutral 0-1 3-1
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L4 L1
Avg Pts For 66.9 72.3
Avg Pts Against 75.0 66.3
Massey -10.7 (#323) 2.9 (#124)
Bradley-Terry -2.76 (#349) 0.67 (#121)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.33 (#345) 0.64 (#131)
RPI 0.388 (#338) 0.537 (#118)
Shooting & Four Factors USI MORE
FG% 38.2% 45.9%
3PT% 29.3% 33.0%
REB / G 36.9 36.8
OREB / G 10.0 10.5
AST / TO 0.79 1.02
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 43.5% 53.1%
TOV% 20.7% 19.3%
ORB% 26.8% 32.8%
FT Rate 23.6% 20.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.5% 47.3%
Opp TOV% 15.9% 15.0%
DRB% 73.8% 73.6%
Opp FT Rate 34.1% 26.4%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.