Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | USI +105 MORE -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +4 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | MORE -0.7 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (-23.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USI -0.5 (-4.5) | 144.3 (-20.3) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -0.1 (-3.9) | 139.5 (-15.5) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USI -0.1 (-4.1) | 141.8 (-17.8) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -0.5 (-3.5) | 143.7 (-19.7) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | MORE 64 – 63 USI |
| Jan 29, 2025 | MORE 66 – 65 USI |
| Jan 1, 2025 | MORE 70 – 68 USI |
| Feb 21, 2024 | USI 80 – 73 MORE |
| Jan 20, 2024 | MORE 81 – 70 USI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USI | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 15-5 |
| Home | 3-10 | 11-2 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -13.5 (#340) | -8.5 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.12 (#348) | -1.87 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.91 (#341) | -2.66 (#317) |
| RPI | 0.329 (#359) | 0.424 (#302) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USI | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.3% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 61.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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