Betting Lines
| Spread | USI -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | USI +100 MORE -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +2 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | USI -6.4 (-8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (-5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USI -3.6 (-5.6) | 143.6 (-5.6) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USI -1.5 (-3.5) | 141.2 (-3.2) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USI -3.0 (-5.0) | 143.6 (-5.6) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USI -2.7 (-4.7) | 144.3 (-6.3) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | MORE 64 – 63 USI |
| Dec 20, 2025 | MORE 64 – 60 USI |
| Jan 29, 2025 | MORE 66 – 65 USI |
| Feb 21, 2024 | USI 80 – 73 MORE |
| Jan 20, 2024 | MORE 81 – 70 USI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USI | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 10-10 |
| Home | 8-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 2-13 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 63.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -7.7 (#297) | -10.0 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.60 (#305) | -1.04 (#269) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.29 (#311) | -2.11 (#298) |
| RPI | 0.387 (#342) | 0.424 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USI | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 13.4% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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