Let fury have the hour / Anger can be power. "Clampdown" - The Clash
Ohio Valley Conference · Ellis T. Johnson Arena · February 21, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread MORE -15.5 Away covered
O/U 138.5 Over
Money MORE -2000 / USI +800
Model Predictions
Spread Total MORE win
Actual USI +7 153 Lost
Massey MORE -17.1 (-24.1) — —
Massey Totals — 136.7 (+16.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 98% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 99% ✗
Baseline Plus ML MORE -13.4 (-20.4) 139.6 (+13.4) 86% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MORE -13.0 (-20.0) 138.3 (+14.7) 85% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML MORE -13.8 (-20.8) 140.4 (+12.6) 87% ✗
Baseline ML MORE -13.3 (-20.3) 141.2 (+11.8) 86% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 25, 2026 MORE 64 – 63 USI
Dec 20, 2025 MORE 64 – 60 USI
Jan 29, 2025 MORE 66 – 65 USI
Jan 1, 2025 MORE 70 – 68 USI
Jan 20, 2024 MORE 81 – 70 USI

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MORE USI
Overall 26-9 8-24
Conference 14-4 5-13
Home 14-1 5-10
Away 9-7 3-13
Neutral 3-1 0-1
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L4
Avg Pts For 72.3 66.9
Avg Pts Against 66.3 75.0
Massey 2.8 (#126) -10.9 (#329)
Bradley-Terry 0.71 (#119) -2.48 (#345)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.86 (#121) -2.92 (#341)
RPI 0.559 (#79) 0.402 (#334)
Shooting & Four Factors MORE USI
FG% 46.1% 39.6%
3PT% 34.5% 31.7%
REB / G 36.1 35.7
OREB / G 10.3 10.0
AST / TO 1.07 0.77
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.7% 45.2%
TOV% 19.0% 20.1%
ORB% 32.5% 27.6%
FT Rate 22.6% 27.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.4% 49.4%
Opp TOV% 15.2% 16.3%
DRB% 72.6% 72.0%
Opp FT Rate 25.8% 34.9%

Game Analysis

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