And with the way you look I understand you're not impressed. "Alison" - Elvis Costello
Ohio Valley Conference · Ellis T. Johnson Arena · February 25, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread MORE -7.5 Away covered
O/U 142.5 Under
Money MORE -360 / USI +285
Model Predictions
Spread Total MORE win
Actual MORE +1 127 Won
Massey MORE -8.2 (-7.2)
Massey Totals 144.3 (-17.3)
Bradley-Terry 94%
Weighted B-T 94%
Efficiency Plus ML MORE -7.0 (-6.0) 143.4 (-16.4) 79%
Baseline Tuned ML MORE -8.1 (-7.1) 141.4 (-14.4) 81%
Baseline ML MORE -7.8 (-6.8) 143.4 (-16.4) 78%
Baseline Plus ML MORE -7.8 (-6.8) 144.4 (-17.4) 78%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 20, 2025 MORE 6460 USI
Jan 29, 2025 MORE 6665 USI
Jan 1, 2025 MORE 7068 USI
Feb 21, 2024 USI 8073 MORE
Jan 20, 2024 MORE 8170 USI

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MORE USI
Overall 20-13 7-23
Conference 15-5 4-16
Home 11-2 3-10
Away 7-10 4-11
Neutral 2-1 0-2
Last 5 5-0 2-3
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 72.0 67.0
Avg Pts Against 75.5 74.3
Massey -7.5 (#284) -12.9 (#335)
Bradley-Terry -0.57 (#227) -2.77 (#355)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.09 (#248) -3.33 (#352)
RPI 0.498 (#188) 0.372 (#358)
Shooting & Four Factors MORE USI
FG% 44.8% 37.9%
3PT% 32.5% 30.2%
REB / G 35.5 36.5
OREB / G 12.3 12.5
AST / TO 0.98 0.80
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.8% 44.0%
TOV% 18.8% 17.5%
ORB% 36.5% 30.8%
FT Rate 27.4% 24.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.4% 48.9%
Opp TOV% 15.6% 16.8%
DRB% 63.9% 65.9%
Opp FT Rate 26.2% 26.5%

Game Analysis

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