And of all my friends, you've been the best to me. / Soon will be the day when I repay you handsomely. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
Ohio Valley Conference · Ellis T. Johnson Arena · January 29, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread MORE -7.5 Away covered
O/U 134.5 Under
Money MORE -360 / USI +280
Model Predictions
Spread Total MORE win
Actual MORE +1 131 Won
Massey MORE -5.3 (-4.3)
Massey Totals 137.3 (-6.3)
Bradley-Terry 88%
Weighted B-T 88%
Efficiency Plus ML MORE -7.7 (-6.7) 134.5 (-3.5) 80%
Baseline Tuned ML MORE -4.7 (-3.7) 134.7 (-3.7) 73%
Baseline ML MORE -5.2 (-4.2) 135.4 (-4.4) 70%
Baseline Plus ML MORE -4.6 (-3.6) 136.0 (-5.0) 70%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 25, 2026 MORE 6463 USI
Dec 20, 2025 MORE 6460 USI
Jan 1, 2025 MORE 7068 USI
Feb 21, 2024 USI 8073 MORE
Jan 20, 2024 MORE 8170 USI

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MORE USI
Overall 15-17 10-20
Conference 10-10 5-15
Home 9-5 8-7
Away 6-10 2-13
Neutral 0-2 0-0
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 63.7 69.6
Avg Pts Against 69.8 75.1
Massey -6.9 (#276) -8.9 (#307)
Bradley-Terry -0.23 (#196) -1.61 (#310)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.91 (#236) -2.22 (#317)
RPI 0.505 (#172) 0.410 (#323)
Shooting & Four Factors MORE USI
FG% 41.8% 42.9%
3PT% 32.8% 35.2%
REB / G 36.4 35.1
OREB / G 11.0 10.1
AST / TO 0.89 0.87
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.2% 48.6%
TOV% 18.7% 17.4%
ORB% 31.1% 28.5%
FT Rate 25.3% 25.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.3% 51.7%
Opp TOV% 13.8% 17.0%
DRB% 74.8% 69.6%
Opp FT Rate 25.2% 26.1%

Game Analysis

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