Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | CIN -200 OU +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +4 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | CIN -4.1 (-8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (-9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -4.1 (-8.1) | 140.1 (-6.1) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -3.9 (-7.9) | 139.3 (-5.3) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -3.8 (-7.8) | 137.8 (-3.8) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -5.4 (-9.4) | 141.0 (-7.0) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2024 | OU 74 – 71 CIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-10 |
| Home | 16-5 | 14-4 |
| Away | 4-8 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 68.8 |
| Massey | 14.0 (#22) | 13.7 (#24) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.99 (#44) | 2.49 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.01 (#23) | 3.09 (#19) |
| RPI | 0.591 (#48) | 0.594 (#44) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 48.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 42.1 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 55.6% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 37.4% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 44.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 78.5% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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