Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | OU -200 CIN +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +3 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | OU -3.9 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (+4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -3.0 (+0.0) | 139.9 (+5.1) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -4.1 (-1.1) | 139.8 (+5.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OU -4.2 (-1.2) | 140.8 (+4.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -4.5 (-1.5) | 141.7 (+3.3) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 20, 2024 | OU 69 – 65 CIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 22-15 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-4 | 16-5 |
| Away | 3-6 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 12.7 (#31) | 12.1 (#39) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.91 (#46) | 1.42 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.42 (#36) | 1.86 (#65) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#72) | 0.553 (#82) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 37.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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