Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | WIU -138 TNST +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNST +1 | 115 | Lost |
| Massey | WIU -3.6 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (-22.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -2.7 (-3.7) | 137.6 (-22.6) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -3.3 (-4.3) | 135.0 (-20.0) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -3.2 (-4.2) | 136.1 (-21.1) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -3.6 (-4.6) | 137.0 (-22.0) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | TNST 83 – 56 WIU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | TNST 90 – 68 WIU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | TNST 87 – 69 WIU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | TNST 72 – 52 WIU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | WIU 61 – 59 TNST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-5 | 11-3 |
| Away | 10-6 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#247) | -4.1 (#246) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#157) | -1.22 (#285) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#151) | -1.15 (#265) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#170) | 0.428 (#296) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 40.8 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 14.1 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 37.8% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 33.6% |
Game Analysis
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