Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | WIU -150 TNST +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNST +20 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | WIU -5.0 (-25.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.7 (-28.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -2.6 (-22.6) | 145.1 (-21.1) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -3.1 (-23.1) | 145.7 (-21.7) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -3.0 (-23.0) | 147.0 (-23.0) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -3.4 (-23.4) | 146.0 (-22.0) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | TNST 83 – 56 WIU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | TNST 90 – 68 WIU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | TNST 87 – 69 WIU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | WIU 61 – 59 TNST |
| Feb 17, 2024 | WIU 68 – 61 TNST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 12-8 |
| Home | 8-7 | 12-3 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 75.4 |
| Massey | -9.0 (#311) | -10.0 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#293) | -2.60 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.42 (#319) | -3.00 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#324) | 0.344 (#361) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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