Let fury have the hour / Anger can be power. "Clampdown" - The Clash
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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82–42 on winners spread MAE 8.6 124 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Saint Louis @ VCU +10.4 145.7 81% 61–85 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Siena -10.9 143.9 17% 82–70 ✓
Niagara @ Rider +1.2 151.8 55% 78–74 ✗
Marist @ Mount St. Mary's +1.6 135.6 61% 48–65 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Fairfield +2.5 137.1 51% 67–76 ✓
Canisius @ Iona +4.6 143.1 71% 58–70 ✓
Le Moyne @ Central Connecticut +7.7 139.8 76% 75–73 ✗
Wagner @ Merrimack +8.0 126.7 74% 71–65 ✗
Long Island University @ Saint Francis +3.2 138.9 63% 66–72 ✓
Toledo @ Central Michigan -5.5 147.9 34% 62–65 ✗
Akron @ Kent State -3.4 144.7 31% 77–71 ✓
Indiana @ Wisconsin +11.8 143.3 85% 79–91 ✓
UNLV @ Colorado State +9.1 144.6 80% 75–78 ✓
Baylor @ Texas -2.2 146.8 42% 73–75 ✗
Marquette @ St. John's +1.4 146.2 60% 73–72 ✗
Creighton @ Seton Hall -0.1 136.7 48% 97–94 ✓
Miami @ Syracuse +2.3 149.5 62% 69–72 ✓
Virginia Tech @ NC State +4.1 142.9 68% 84–78 ✗
Louisville @ Wake Forest +14.6 153.3 88% 65–90 ✓
Penn State @ Ohio State +7.9 146.0 79% 67–79 ✓
George Washington @ Massachusetts +6.8 158.3 76% 67–81 ✓
Robert Morris @ IU Indianapolis -5.9 146.3 25% 80–63 ✓
Rhode Island @ Dayton +14.3 142.1 86% 62–96 ✓
Oklahoma @ Cincinnati +3.8 137.8 73% 69–65 ✗
Winthrop @ Gardner-Webb -0.8 149.4 48% 74–79 ✗
San Diego State @ Boise State +1.6 136.5 63% 66–67 ✓
South Carolina @ Arkansas +0.4 140.6 46% 77–64 ✗
Loyola Chicago @ Fordham -0.3 143.3 46% 65–61 ✓
The Citadel @ VMI -10.4 143.5 18% 63–70 ✗
New Hampshire @ UMBC -4.7 156.5 33% 64–58 ✓
Denver @ North Dakota -5.3 157.8 34% 78–92 ✗
Kansas City @ Omaha +6.0 146.6 68% 74–72 ✗
Army @ Navy +5.6 126.9 64% 53–57 ✓
UCF @ Houston +16.0 126.4 88% 42–57 ✓
Alabama @ Tennessee +2.9 159.6 62% 71–91 ✓
Iowa State @ TCU +0.6 145.6 60% 73–72 ✗
Rice @ Temple +4.6 142.0 68% 69–66 ✗
Illinois State @ Missouri State +6.2 132.1 70% 69–60 ✗
Belmont @ Bradley +10.8 148.7 83% 72–95 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Radford +7.1 143.2 78% 61–64 ✓
William & Mary @ North Carolina A&T +1.3 147.2 53% 69–76 ✓
Hampton @ Monmouth +13.9 146.0 86% 77–85 ✓
Delaware @ Drexel +5.8 135.3 74% 67–86 ✓
Boston University @ Colgate +9.3 131.2 80% 59–75 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ George Mason +1.8 134.6 54% 60–69 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Holy Cross +1.3 134.1 52% 78–86 ✓
Bucknell @ Lafayette +0.9 130.1 53% 72–75 ✓
Western Michigan @ Bowling Green +5.6 150.5 72% 79–84 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Ball State +0.7 141.9 53% 87–80 ✗
Western Carolina @ Furman -0.4 146.6 45% 62–65 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Cleveland State +0.8 156.2 59% 68–75 ✓
Yale @ Dartmouth -12.6 132.7 15% 76–51 ✓
Princeton @ Columbia -9.9 149.6 21% 70–62 ✓
Maine @ NJIT -3.4 133.1 42% 70–64 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Binghamton -7.6 149.6 25% 80–60 ✓
South Dakota State @ South Dakota -4.9 151.7 33% 73–55 ✓
Oral Roberts @ North Dakota State +0.8 154.5 71% 67–72 ✓
Cornell @ Brown -6.2 152.4 28% 84–83 ✓
Purdue @ Iowa -4.5 162.8 31% 84–70 ✓
North Carolina @ Boston College -6.2 148.7 25% 76–66 ✓
USC @ Arizona State +1.7 143.8 58% 67–82 ✓
Northwestern @ Nebraska +4.6 146.0 67% 69–75 ✓
Duquesne @ Saint Joseph's +6.5 141.7 77% 69–71 ✓
East Carolina @ UAB +3.5 142.7 71% 61–69 ✓
Tulsa @ SMU +13.2 140.6 87% 70–103 ✓
Presbyterian @ Longwood +9.9 139.0 84% 70–80 ✓
Georgia State @ Georgia Southern -6.5 149.8 27% 70–86 ✗
Kennesaw State @ Jacksonville -3.6 156.9 40% 83–79 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Mississippi State +14.8 136.7 87% 55–68 ✓
Troy @ Southern Miss -2.0 145.8 42% 63–64 ✗
Kansas @ West Virginia -11.4 145.1 17% 85–91 ✗
UCLA @ Arizona +22.1 142.5 90% 71–77 ✓
Fresno State @ Utah State +17.2 146.3 89% 62–83 ✓
North Carolina Central @ South Carolina State -5.6 144.7 30% 68–71 ✗
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Delaware State +6.9 136.6 76% 63–67 ✓
Southern @ Grambling -3.0 136.3 35% 62–79 ✗
Clemson @ Florida State +1.7 149.2 57% 78–67 ✗
Texas Southern @ Alcorn State +0.3 137.4 49% 72–61 ✗
North Texas @ Charlotte +0.4 126.4 40% 44–56 ✓
UIC @ Valparaiso -2.4 133.7 44% 77–84 ✗
Campbell @ Towson +8.0 125.9 78% 43–77 ✓
DePaul @ Butler +17.4 148.5 90% 60–74 ✓
Florida A&M @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff +2.0 152.1 62% 97–99 ✓
Texas A&M @ LSU +2.6 145.7 67% 73–69 ✗
Richmond @ Davidson -1.2 133.1 40% 69–64 ✓
New Mexico @ Air Force -12.4 144.1 16% 85–66 ✓
Norfolk State @ Howard +0.3 142.8 49% 65–61 ✗
Eastern Michigan @ Ohio +10.6 146.5 85% 67–85 ✓
Wofford @ UNC Greensboro +6.0 145.2 72% 59–82 ✓
Youngstown State @ Detroit Mercy -13.1 145.4 14% 105–64 ✓
Louisiana @ South Alabama -2.0 149.5 45% 88–79 ✓
UT Arlington @ Abilene Christian +0.0 149.4 54% 67–78 ✓
Utah Tech @ Utah Valley +4.4 141.1 70% 71–84 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Santa Barbara +6.2 138.0 76% 73–69 ✗
Sacramento State @ Northern Arizona -0.2 133.7 43% 61–70 ✗
Morgan State @ Coppin State +1.2 133.6 52% 89–86 ✗
Tennessee State @ Western Illinois +3.2 136.1 60% 58–57 ✗
Morehead State @ Southern Indiana -9.9 133.7 16% 81–70 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Lindenwood -2.0 133.7 40% 78–68 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ App State +16.7 138.4 88% 59–88 ✓
East Texas A&M @ SE Louisiana +3.8 130.7 62% 68–52 ✗
Nicholls @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +2.4 145.2 59% 59–69 ✓
Lamar @ Houston Christian -6.8 152.8 31% 77–78 ✗
SIU Edwardsville @ Southeast Missouri State -8.0 137.2 25% 47–52 ✗
Washington State @ California -4.2 144.7 33% 75–81 ✗
American University @ Lehigh -0.5 141.6 46% 68–70 ✗
North Alabama @ Lipscomb +7.6 154.2 79% 79–88 ✓
Queens University @ North Florida +4.5 152.8 71% 75–91 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Jacksonville State -1.2 129.7 40% 74–57 ✓
UC Irvine @ UC Davis -2.7 139.4 41% 52–54 ✗
Arkansas State @ Texas State -0.2 143.6 45% 79–72 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Austin Peay +9.6 143.2 84% 71–94 ✓
Northwestern State @ New Orleans +7.0 149.9 71% 92–67 ✗
Georgia @ Kentucky +10.0 161.1 82% 96–105 ✓
BYU @ Texas Tech -3.2 143.2 45% 78–85 ✗
Virginia @ Georgia Tech -0.5 131.2 40% 75–66 ✓
Evansville @ Drake +13.7 148.3 88% 48–97 ✓
Charleston @ UNC Wilmington +3.1 153.9 64% 69–78 ✓
Mercer @ Samford +15.1 151.8 87% 80–87 ✓
Harvard @ Pennsylvania +3.9 142.0 64% 70–61 ✗
Marshall @ James Madison +14.9 153.6 86% 52–67 ✓
McNeese @ Incarnate Word -13.0 144.5 13% 80–66 ✓
Green Bay @ Northern Kentucky +2.1 140.2 58% 52–74 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Jackson State +5.7 146.3 75% 71–62 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.