This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–13 on winners spread MAE 9.0 50 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Oregon State @ Colorado +12.5 144.8 85% 57–90 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Kansas State +9.0 136.8 82% 66–70 ✓
Charleston Southern @ High Point +14.7 150.7 87% 79–86 ✓
Northeastern @ Elon -1.8 143.8 42% 84–72 ✓
Stetson @ Florida Gulf Coast -1.3 143.3 41% 56–80 ✗
Portland @ Santa Clara +12.3 147.5 87% 86–101 ✓
Milwaukee @ Wright State +6.4 166.7 81% 81–95 ✓
UL Monroe @ Old Dominion +6.5 139.8 74% 80–73 ✗
Bryant @ UAlbany +0.4 156.9 48% 98–89 ✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Mississippi Valley State -8.7 136.4 15% 80–64 ✓
Bellarmine @ Eastern Kentucky +7.1 141.9 78% 70–82 ✓
Sam Houston @ Liberty +9.1 141.8 82% 66–82 ✓
Hawai'i @ UC San Diego +7.0 134.8 78% 61–67 ✓
Nevada @ Wyoming -9.1 138.1 22% 93–98 ✗
Tarleton State @ UT Rio Grande Valley -3.7 145.3 29% 77–73 ✓
UConn @ Villanova -0.4 141.8 49% 66–65 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Duke +10.4 141.7 85% 80–76 ✗
Southern Illinois @ Northern Iowa +2.1 136.3 65% 57–61 ✓
Florida @ Missouri -3.1 158.6 44% 79–67 ✓
Southern Utah @ California Baptist +5.1 141.1 67% 76–83 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC Riverside -0.0 145.5 51% 63–82 ✗
Portland State @ Northern Colorado +3.9 152.9 74% 61–90 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Idaho State -5.5 145.7 27% 79–67 ✓
Ole Miss @ Auburn +12.0 149.6 86% 59–82 ✓
Washington @ Stanford +0.1 156.7 49% 80–90 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ New Mexico State +4.3 125.7 66% 62–73 ✓
Western Kentucky @ UTEP -0.2 140.5 50% 87–93 ✗
Montana @ Montana State -3.6 149.9 30% 87–77 ✓
Idaho @ Weber State +11.9 138.2 86% 65–88 ✓
Saint Mary's @ San Francisco +1.9 134.1 44% 77–60 ✗
Loyola Marymount @ Pepperdine +0.9 143.4 57% 68–61 ✗
Gonzaga @ San Diego -12.9 151.3 17% 105–63 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Seattle U -3.0 142.5 38% 79–86 ✗
Cal Poly @ Cal State Bakersfield +6.0 133.0 75% 53–65 ✓
Michigan State @ Maryland -3.1 132.4 36% 61–59 ✓
Memphis @ Tulane -1.3 164.2 53% 79–81 ✗
Rutgers @ Illinois +12.2 143.3 86% 63–86 ✓
Wichita State @ South Florida +6.3 145.9 78% 68–72 ✓
Niagara @ Mount St. Mary's +3.8 150.8 66% 82–71 ✗
Siena @ Marist +12.3 128.8 87% 48–50 ✓
Iona @ Quinnipiac +1.5 142.5 63% 87–91 ✓
Fairfield @ Manhattan -9.1 142.9 19% 82–75 ✓
Canisius @ Saint Peter's +5.6 132.1 73% 59–70 ✓
Wagner @ Sacred Heart +1.9 134.1 57% 61–66 ✓
Stonehill @ Merrimack +12.6 131.9 86% 47–63 ✓
Saint Francis @ Le Moyne +6.1 137.0 69% 57–94 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ UTSA -13.1 162.8 15% 112–103 ✓
Oregon @ Utah +10.0 149.9 82% 77–80 ✓
Chattanooga @ East Tennessee State +0.0 142.5 48% 81–74 ✗
Indiana State @ Murray State -6.2 153.4 23% 72–63 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.