Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Over |
| Money | UALB +138 BRY -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UALB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +9 | 187 | Lost |
| Massey | UALB -0.8 (-9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.2 (+25.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -1.3 (-7.7) | 161.4 (+25.6) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UALB -0.2 (-9.2) | 156.8 (+30.2) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UALB -0.4 (-9.4) | 156.9 (+30.1) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UALB -0.9 (-9.9) | 159.8 (+27.2) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | UALB 65 – 63 BRY |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UALB 71 – 46 BRY |
| Mar 12, 2025 | BRY 91 – 78 UALB |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UALB 68 – 63 BRY |
| Jan 16, 2025 | BRY 89 – 79 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UALB | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 11-5 |
| Home | 7-5 | 11-3 |
| Away | 4-13 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#217) | 0.1 (#162) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#196) | 0.59 (#127) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#211) | 0.89 (#119) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#188) | 0.536 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UALB | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 18.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 44.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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