Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 169.5 Under |
| Money | TULN +138 MEM -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TULN +2 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | MEM -0.8 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 175.3 (-15.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -2.1 (+4.1) | 165.6 (-5.6) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -2.4 (+4.4) | 162.6 (-2.6) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -1.3 (+3.3) | 164.2 (-4.2) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -0.2 (+2.2) | 163.8 (-3.8) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | TULN 81 – 69 MEM |
| Mar 8, 2026 | MEM 96 – 95 TULN |
| Feb 1, 2026 | TULN 78 – 76 MEM |
| Mar 15, 2025 | MEM 78 – 77 TULN |
| Jan 31, 2025 | MEM 68 – 56 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-6 | 13-2 |
| Away | 2-8 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 80.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 75.8 |
| Massey | 4.8 (#104) | 9.3 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#125) | 2.58 (#16) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#120) | 3.26 (#14) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#139) | 0.626 (#17) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.2% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 5.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 17.9% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 35.7% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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