Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | MEM -470 TULN +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TULN +2 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | MEM -11.6 (-13.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (+8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -10.4 (-12.4) | 144.6 (+9.4) | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -12.1 (-14.1) | 144.6 (+9.4) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -11.1 (-13.1) | 141.8 (+12.2) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -11.5 (-13.5) | 142.8 (+11.2) | 86% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | TULN 81 – 69 MEM |
| Mar 8, 2026 | MEM 96 – 95 TULN |
| Mar 15, 2025 | MEM 78 – 77 TULN |
| Jan 31, 2025 | MEM 68 – 56 TULN |
| Feb 11, 2024 | MEM 90 – 78 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-6 | 10-8 |
| Away | 3-10 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 75.7 |
| Massey | 5.5 (#103) | -3.1 (#214) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#112) | -0.04 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#105) | -0.40 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#147) | 0.499 (#179) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 34.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 64.2% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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