Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | MEM -425 TULN +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +1 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | MEM -9.9 (-8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.5 (+6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -8.2 (-7.2) | 146.5 (+8.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -8.5 (-7.5) | 147.2 (+7.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -8.1 (-7.1) | 146.0 (+9.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -8.3 (-7.3) | 147.1 (+7.9) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | TULN 81 – 69 MEM |
| Mar 8, 2026 | MEM 96 – 95 TULN |
| Feb 1, 2026 | TULN 78 – 76 MEM |
| Jan 31, 2025 | MEM 68 – 56 TULN |
| Feb 11, 2024 | MEM 90 – 78 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-2 | 14-3 |
| Away | 11-2 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 11.3 (#52) | 1.3 (#141) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.08 (#13) | 0.07 (#162) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.53 (#22) | 0.11 (#159) |
| RPI | 0.646 (#5) | 0.507 (#161) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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