Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | TULN +124 MEM -148 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +1 | 191 | Lost |
| Massey | MEM -3.6 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (+44.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -1.9 (+0.9) | 144.7 (+46.3) | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -3.1 (+2.1) | 147.2 (+43.8) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -1.1 (+0.1) | 147.0 (+44.0) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -1.9 (+0.9) | 146.2 (+44.8) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | TULN 81 – 69 MEM |
| Feb 1, 2026 | TULN 78 – 76 MEM |
| Mar 15, 2025 | MEM 78 – 77 TULN |
| Jan 31, 2025 | MEM 68 – 56 TULN |
| Feb 11, 2024 | MEM 90 – 78 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-8 | 10-6 |
| Away | 6-4 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 76.7 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#220) | 3.1 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#143) | 0.04 (#161) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#173) | 0.22 (#146) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#141) | 0.484 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 22.0% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 33.8% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 64.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 31.3% |
Game Analysis
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