Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 166.5 Over |
| Money | MEM -450 TULN +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +12 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | MEM -6.3 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 173.7 (-5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -6.5 (+5.5) | 164.2 (+3.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | MEM -8.5 (+3.5) | 163.6 (+4.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | MEM -6.6 (+5.4) | 161.7 (+6.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -6.1 (+5.9) | 163.3 (+4.7) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | TULN 81 – 69 MEM |
| Mar 8, 2026 | MEM 96 – 95 TULN |
| Feb 1, 2026 | TULN 78 – 76 MEM |
| Mar 15, 2025 | MEM 78 – 77 TULN |
| Jan 31, 2025 | MEM 68 – 56 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-2 | 11-6 |
| Away | 7-6 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 80.6 |
| Massey | 7.2 (#83) | 4.4 (#110) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.78 (#52) | 0.45 (#134) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.30 (#47) | 0.78 (#123) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#47) | 0.511 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 49.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 6.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 55.4% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 18.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 34.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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