Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | MEM -198 TULN +164 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TULN +12 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | MEM -6.4 (-18.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (+2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -6.3 (-18.3) | 147.7 (+2.3) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -5.5 (-17.5) | 145.8 (+4.2) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -4.4 (-16.4) | 146.2 (+3.8) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -5.0 (-17.0) | 147.7 (+2.3) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | MEM 96 – 95 TULN |
| Feb 1, 2026 | TULN 78 – 76 MEM |
| Mar 15, 2025 | MEM 78 – 77 TULN |
| Jan 31, 2025 | MEM 68 – 56 TULN |
| Feb 11, 2024 | MEM 90 – 78 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-6 | 10-8 |
| Away | 3-10 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 75.7 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#122) | -3.3 (#220) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#150) | 0.15 (#149) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#142) | -0.15 (#173) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#202) | 0.511 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 22.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 33.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 64.3% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.8% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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