Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | ELON +150 NE -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +12 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | NE -1.6 (-10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (+5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -1.8 (-10.2) | 142.5 (+13.5) | 43% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | NE -2.0 (-10.0) | 141.0 (+15.0) | 46% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | NE -1.9 (-10.1) | 144.2 (+11.8) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NE -1.8 (-10.2) | 143.8 (+12.2) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | NE 85 – 78 ELON |
| Dec 30, 2025 | ELON 103 – 91 NE |
| Feb 2, 2025 | ELON 71 – 60 NE |
| Feb 23, 2024 | NE 61 – 58 ELON |
| Feb 4, 2023 | ELON 74 – 73 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-6 | 7-5 |
| Away | 3-11 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#298) | -2.6 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#270) | -0.43 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#286) | -0.44 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#272) | 0.482 (#201) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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