Betting Lines
| Spread | ELON -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | NE +150 ELON -180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +7 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | ELON -0.3 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.9 (-5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -0.1 (+6.9) | 158.9 (+4.1) | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ELON -1.1 (+8.1) | 157.6 (+5.4) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ELON -0.0 (+7.0) | 158.9 (+4.1) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ELON -0.1 (+7.1) | 158.8 (+4.2) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2025 | ELON 103 – 91 NE |
| Feb 2, 2025 | ELON 71 – 60 NE |
| Feb 23, 2024 | NE 61 – 58 ELON |
| Jan 21, 2024 | NE 84 – 72 ELON |
| Feb 4, 2023 | ELON 74 – 73 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-24 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 6-12 |
| Home | 2-10 | 8-8 |
| Away | 3-13 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.0 | 79.3 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#220) | 0.5 (#156) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.98 (#251) | 0.32 (#147) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#235) | 0.21 (#153) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#242) | 0.522 (#131) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 55.6% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.7% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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