Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | NE -450 ELON +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +3 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | NE -8.4 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.0 (-31.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -6.5 (-3.5) | 144.9 (-25.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NE -6.6 (-3.6) | 142.0 (-23.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -6.3 (-3.3) | 144.1 (-25.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NE -5.9 (-2.9) | 144.4 (-25.4) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | NE 85 – 78 ELON |
| Dec 30, 2025 | ELON 103 – 91 NE |
| Feb 2, 2025 | ELON 71 – 60 NE |
| Jan 21, 2024 | NE 84 – 72 ELON |
| Feb 4, 2023 | ELON 74 – 73 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 7-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 4-13 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#228) | -8.6 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#242) | -1.10 (#281) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#225) | -1.58 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#237) | 0.449 (#276) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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