Betting Lines
| Spread | ELON -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | ELON -205 NE +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ELON +12 | 194 | Won |
| Massey | ELON -7.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.4 (+30.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ELON -5.7 (+6.3) | 153.8 (+40.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ELON -6.5 (+5.5) | 153.6 (+40.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ELON -7.1 (+4.9) | 154.3 (+39.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ELON -6.3 (+5.7) | 153.6 (+40.4) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | NE 85 – 78 ELON |
| Feb 2, 2025 | ELON 71 – 60 NE |
| Feb 23, 2024 | NE 61 – 58 ELON |
| Jan 21, 2024 | NE 84 – 72 ELON |
| Feb 4, 2023 | ELON 74 – 73 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 7-24 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 2-16 |
| Home | 8-8 | 2-10 |
| Away | 6-9 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.3 | 81.0 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#154) | -1.6 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#148) | -0.84 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#153) | -1.11 (#242) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#131) | 0.461 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 37.3% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
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