Betting Lines
| Spread | PEPP -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | PEPP -125 LMU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PEPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +7 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | PEPP -1.6 (-8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (-14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PEPP -1.0 (-8.0) | 142.9 (-13.9) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PEPP -0.4 (-7.4) | 140.2 (-11.2) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PEPP -1.6 (-8.6) | 142.0 (-13.0) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PEPP -0.9 (-7.9) | 143.4 (-14.4) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | PEPP 90 – 89 LMU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | LMU 93 – 82 PEPP |
| Feb 12, 2025 | LMU 69 – 60 PEPP |
| Feb 11, 2024 | PEPP 72 – 63 LMU |
| Feb 26, 2023 | LMU 75 – 67 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PEPP | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 5-11 |
| Home | 9-8 | 8-8 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#209) | -0.4 (#172) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#239) | -0.57 (#230) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#226) | -0.72 (#228) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#264) | 0.461 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PEPP | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 13.4% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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