Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | MVSU +350 BCU -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MVSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BCU +16 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | BCU -8.8 (-7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BCU -8.8 (-7.2) | 137.3 (+6.7) | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BCU -9.1 (-6.9) | 135.0 (+9.0) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BCU -8.6 (-7.4) | 135.7 (+8.3) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -8.7 (-7.3) | 136.4 (+7.6) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | BCU 79 – 63 MVSU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | BCU 83 – 58 MVSU |
| Jan 14, 2023 | BCU 77 – 71 MVSU |
| Jan 15, 2022 | BCU 62 – 60 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MVSU | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1-30 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 11-7 |
| Home | 1-8 | 11-2 |
| Away | 0-22 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 55.5 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -23.8 (#363) | -11.2 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.16 (#362) | -1.45 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.08 (#363) | -1.90 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.393 (#337) | 0.408 (#323) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MVSU | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.5% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 27.6% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 28.8 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.44 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.9% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 25.9% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.8% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 62.3% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 36.6% |
Game Analysis
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