Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MVSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BCU +2 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | BCU -6.6 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.5 (-21.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BCU -5.9 (+3.9) | 136.9 (-14.9) | 21% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | BCU -5.9 (+3.9) | 137.9 (-15.9) | 22% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | BCU -5.6 (+3.6) | 142.5 (-20.5) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -6.1 (+4.1) | 138.6 (-16.6) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | BCU 79 – 63 MVSU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | BCU 83 – 58 MVSU |
| Jan 21, 2024 | BCU 80 – 64 MVSU |
| Jan 14, 2023 | BCU 77 – 71 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MVSU | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-26 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 7-11 |
| Home | 0-11 | 4-6 |
| Away | 2-15 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 62.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.0 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -21.5 (#358) | -10.9 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.20 (#346) | -2.31 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.47 (#351) | -2.62 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.377 (#337) | 0.385 (#332) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MVSU | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.9% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.3% | 42.3% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 60.7% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 64.0% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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