Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | MVSU +950 BCU -1650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MVSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BCU +16 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | BCU -12.6 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (-7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BCU -12.1 (-3.9) | 142.5 (-0.5) | 14% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | BCU -11.1 (-4.9) | 144.5 (-2.5) | 15% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | BCU -11.2 (-4.8) | 140.6 (+1.4) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -12.5 (-3.5) | 142.1 (-0.1) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2025 | BCU 83 – 58 MVSU |
| Jan 21, 2024 | BCU 80 – 64 MVSU |
| Jan 14, 2023 | BCU 77 – 71 MVSU |
| Jan 15, 2022 | BCU 62 – 60 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MVSU | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-30 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 14-4 |
| Home | 2-9 | 10-1 |
| Away | 1-18 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.2 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.7 | 77.5 |
| Massey | -25.5 (#365) | -9.5 (#304) |
| Bradley-Terry | -5.01 (#365) | -1.09 (#263) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -7.20 (#365) | -1.68 (#275) |
| RPI | 0.337 (#363) | 0.479 (#211) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MVSU | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.5% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 24.2% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.7% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 63.4% | 64.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.9% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
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