Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | UNCO -250 PRST +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +29 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | UNCO -5.1 (+23.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.2 (-10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -3.8 (+25.2) | 151.6 (-0.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -3.5 (+25.5) | 152.3 (-1.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -4.2 (+24.8) | 154.1 (-3.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -3.9 (+25.1) | 152.9 (-1.9) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | UNCO 77 – 65 PRST |
| Jan 16, 2026 | PRST 76 – 73 UNCO |
| Feb 15, 2025 | PRST 82 – 71 UNCO |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UNCO 72 – 69 PRST |
| Feb 16, 2024 | PRST 82 – 72 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-3 | 11-2 |
| Away | 7-8 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.0 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#218) | -4.2 (#247) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#161) | 0.05 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#166) | -0.30 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#149) | 0.497 (#176) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 22.4% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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