Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | PRST -125 UNCO +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +11 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | UNCO -0.8 (+11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.8 (+0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -0.1 (+11.1) | 147.8 (+5.2) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -0.5 (+10.5) | 145.6 (+7.4) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -0.4 (+11.4) | 148.9 (+4.1) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -0.5 (+11.5) | 150.0 (+3.0) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | UNCO 77 – 65 PRST |
| Jan 16, 2026 | PRST 76 – 73 UNCO |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UNCO 72 – 69 PRST |
| Feb 16, 2024 | PRST 82 – 72 UNCO |
| Jan 21, 2024 | UNCO 90 – 61 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 15-3 |
| Home | 13-1 | 13-2 |
| Away | 5-10 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#205) | 1.7 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#211) | 0.61 (#121) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#190) | 0.81 (#111) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#227) | 0.521 (#138) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 49.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 56.2% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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